BERLIN — Prominent historian and author, Anne Applebaum, issued a strong warning regarding a potential coalition between the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and the Alternative for Germany (AfD) in 2026. She asserted that such an alliance could fundamentally discredit the center-right spectrum and jeopardize the foundations of democracy in Germany, with wide repercussions across Europe.
Applebaum, recipient of the "Friedenspreis des Deutschen Buchhandels" (German Book Trade Peace Prize) in 2024, has consistently highlighted threats to democratic societies through her extensive works. Now, her attention is focused on Germany's increasingly worrying political dynamics.
According to Applebaum, Germany's center-right political spectrum, a long-standing pillar of stability, would face an erosion of credibility if it allied with a party often accused of extremist sentiments, such as the AfD. This is not merely a tactical shift, but an ethical one with potentially long-term consequences.
She emphasized that political integrity is crucial, especially for established parties bearing the responsibility of upholding constitutional values. Cooperation with the AfD, in Applebaum's view, would lend undue legitimacy to a populist agenda capable of eroding democratic norms.
This warning comes amidst the rising popularity of the AfD in several German regions and intense discussions about possible future government scenarios. Although CDU leaders have publicly rejected formal cooperation with the AfD at the federal level, regional political pressures could create complex dilemmas.
Local political dynamics, particularly in the context of upcoming state elections, could alter the landscape of alliances. Some observers fear that political pragmatism might override broader democratic principles.
Applebaum also underscored the impact of such a coalition on Germany's position within the European Union. As a major economic and political power, any significant ideological shift in Germany would undoubtedly be felt across the continent. This could trigger similar waves of populism in other member states.
Political analysts view Applebaum's warning as a reflection of the tensions currently gripping liberal democratic systems globally. Far-right forces are gaining strength in many countries, challenging the long-standing post-war consensus.
This situation aligns with the heated debate surrounding a partial ban on the AfD, illustrating the extent of public and political concern over the party. The issue is not just about who governs, but about how fundamental values are safeguarded.
Although the CDU has strived to demonstrate its commitment to democratic principles and reject extremism, electoral challenges could push some internal factions to consider options previously deemed taboo. Leaders like Stefan Evers in Berlin face significant pressure to maintain their support base.
Applebaum's statement serves as a call for politicians and citizens alike to consider the long-term implications of current political decisions. She reminds us that history has shown how fragile democratic institutions can be if not carefully protected.
She urges European society to be more vigilant against divisive rhetoric and narratives that undermine trust in institutions. The future of Germany, and in turn Europe, depends on the choices made today in the face of populist threats.
This warning is not the first time an intellectual has voiced similar concerns, but Applebaum's stature as a historian focused on totalitarianism provides a unique and profound perspective. Her focus has always been on how societies can slip from democracy into authoritarianism.
The threat to the center-right spectrum also implies the loss of moderate political alternatives that have sustained the system. This could leave extreme polarization as the only option, a dangerous scenario for social and political stability.
Mainstream party leaders in Germany now face a severe test: will they adhere steadfastly to democratic principles or succumb to the fleeting temptation of power by sacrificing the moral and constitutional integrity of the nation?